SPX 0DTE ATM straddle at 9:45 vs the close — n = 1 session
How the straddle outcome is measured
n < 5 sessions: no statistics yet — one dated row per session; averages, hit rates and comparisons appear only once at least five sessions are in.
your strike · seven closes
| Session | 9:45 spot | ATM strike | Straddle (implied ±) | Close (source) | |close − strike| | Long straddle per contract | Short straddle per contract | Realized ÷ implied | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | 7,724.92 as of 9:46am ET | 7,725 | 24.65 (±24.65 pts) | 7,743.51 cboe_close | 18.51 pts | −$614.02 | +$614.02 | 0.75 | session page · methodology |
Realized ÷ implied = |close − 9:45 spot| ÷ straddle price, per row. Method and caveats: methodology.
Quick answers
What exactly is measured?
For each finalized SPX session: the mid quotes of the call and the put at the strike nearest spot, from the 15-min delayed CBOE snapshot whose prices are stamped nearest 9:45am ET, added together (the ATM straddle); then the intrinsic value of that same straddle at the official close, |close − strike|. The difference × 100 is the per-contract outcome of one long straddle; the short straddle is its negative. No commissions, no slippage, no fills — a mid is the midpoint of bid and ask, not a price anyone traded at.
Why 9:45 and the official close?
9:45am ET is the target because the opening minutes carry the day's widest quotes; the official close is the settlement reference for SPXW PM contracts (cash-settled). The row uses the snapshot whose prices are stamped nearest 9:45am ET (15-min delayed data, so it is fetched around 10:00am ET); if that stamp falls before the 9:30am open the row is flagged pre-open. Every row prints its as-of time.
Is this a recommendation?
No. It is arithmetic on public, delayed data about sessions that already closed — not a forecast and not advice. The decision is yours.
Where are the statistics?
There are none yet: with fewer than 5 sessions any average or hit count is noise, so the page prints one dated row per session and nothing aggregated. The one statistic already published from the archive is the SPX measured pin rate, with its n disclosed.
Cite this
Embed the card: <img src="https://0dteclose.com/cards/2026-09-25/SPX-postmortem.png" alt="SPX 0DTE post-mortem 2026-09-25"> — CC BY 4.0, link back. How to cite us.
Next
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- Session archive close vs max pain · every session
- SPX levels today max pain · walls · straddle at 9:00 ET
generated 2026-09-27 · 15-min delayed CBOE data